Here is the latest beef briefing from EBLEX. My view is that there
may be potential in cereal beef from Holstein bulls but the EBLEX
budget shows only a modest gross margin and I think is based on an
optimistic carcass weight of 280 kg - 260 kg is nearer the mark. The
margin is damaged if the calves are reared by a rearer who wants
part of the margin and if the calf is transported very far. In
practice bull beef producers rarely follow the cereal beef system in
full and end up slaughtering bulls at 15 - 16 months.
English beef producers could make an additional £12 million in
margins as well as saving the industry over £160 million in lost
retail sales by taking full advantage of favourable prospects for
purebred Holstein bull finishing in 2005, even without headage
payments.
This is the conclusion of the latest costings from the English Beef
and Lamb Executive (EBLEX) showing the vast majority of the 250,000
bobby calves likely to be lost to the food chain next year are
perfectly capable of generating 2005 gross margins of over £80/head.
And this with some fairly conservative assumptions on carcase value.
The prospects for dairy bull finishing over the coming year are
underpinned by a relative shortage of manufacturing grade beef
across the UK and European Union; an imbalance that has led to
significant increases in cow beef prices across Europe in recent
months.
With Intervention stocks no longer available and manufacturing beef
import volumes from third countries close to their ceiling, this
shortage looks sets to continue for the foreseeable future. What is
more, providing UK bone-in beef exports are resumed, it is unlikely
to be affected by any possible return of over thirty month (OTM)
animals to the UK food chain in 2005.
Alongside this favourable market dynamic, dairy bull calves are
trading at just £20/head and concentrate prices are a good £25/t
lower than a year ago. This makes the cost side of the bull
finishing equation particularly attractive.
Under these circumstances, intensive beef finishers across the
country are strongly advised to consider finishing several pens of
dairy bulls alongside their existing cross-bred stock on the basis
of careful individual costings. This approach could well offer a
valuable extra margin- earning opportunity for many, as well as a
way of reducing overhead costs on all the animals.
Pure-bred Holsteins are well suited to cereal finishing at around 12
months of age, although producers must be realistic in their carcase
quality expectations. Only small, weak and infirm calves are
unsuitable: the key requirement being for healthy, colostrum-fed
stock. Rearing on whole milk is ideal and can save significantly on
early feeding costs to improve margins.
Projected 2005 Costings for Holstein Bulls Cereal-Finished at 12
Months of Age (MLC)
Calf value (assuming 5% mortality) £25
Rearing to 12 weeks £50
Finishing concentrate (2 tonnes @ £85/t) £170
Vet, med, bedding & sundries £65
Total costs £310
Income (280 kg @140p/kg for –O3) £392
Gross margin £82
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